Brand New Yougov Primary Poll (TX-SEN): Talarico+13

[SSJVegeta]

Conducted Feb 26-March 2, it shows Talarico up 53-40 for tomorrow's open primary in Texas.


https://d3nnbamw3dez3b.cloudfront.net/documents/tx_ttw_20260226.pdf

Previous yougov poll conducted Feb 2-16 had Crockett up 56-44.

Harris endorsed Crockett on Feb 27, so depending on how many people it polled on Feb 26, it may or may not fully account for her endorsement of Crockett.

[Quiet Em]

1. The link is only showing the Republican primary voter data

I don't see the Democratic primary voter data at that link.

[SSJVegeta]

2. On edit: oh it is both.

So it starts with the Dem primary. And scrolling down you get the R primary.


Here is what it says on top:

Texas Primary Elections
Democratic Primary Voters
Sample 2,427 Likely Texas Democratic Primary Voters
Conducted February 26 - March 2, 2026
Margin of Error ±2.7%

[Quiet Em]

3. thanks

[SSJVegeta]

5. Welcome!

[Fiendish Thingy]

4. That's the biggest sample size I've seen yet for the TX senate primary. Nt

[SSJVegeta]

6. I copy pasta'd it without even really looking at it...

And

[everyonematters]

7. I don't know if the Harris endorsement would really help her that much.

I think it would appeal to the voters she already has. If the swing voters are voting in the Democratic primary, which appears to be the case, I think that is the reason Talerico is winning. If they were voting in the Republican primary Crockett would win.

[hamsterjill]

10. Harris' endorsement didn't do much in my opinion.

Many Texans still remember Harris' visit to the border while VP, and they didn't think she took the issue seriously enough. That's still the general consensus at least in my neck of the woods.

[Renew Deal]

8. That poll is definitely correct

or incorrect

[SSJVegeta]

9. It might even be somewhat correct

Or somewhat incorrect

[Jack Valentino]

11. This is some of the most contradictory polling I have EVER seen for ANY election---

numerous polls showing BOTH major candidates well ahead for the
Democratic nomination for US Senator in Texas!!


Guess we'll have to wait until the votes are actually counted to call this one!

[SSJVegeta]

12. Fwiw all polling taken only after the 17th has been entirely favoring Talarico

...but we shall see tomorrow what happens

[Jack Valentino]

13. I've seen at least one poll that put Crockett squarely in the lead

taken close to the election, and maybe two, as well as others that put Talarico in the lead...

so I can't figure this one....

Guess it is a good test for who can turn out the most of their voters---
for a party primary, at least...

(I love Crockett, but have concluded that she may not be the best party nominee, for this race in that state...)

[SSJVegeta]

14. Can you share with me the on that puts her squarely in the lead?

The most recent one I know of where she is ahead is taken between Feb 13 and 22.

Any poll taken entirely after the 17th though only has Talarico ahead. Most by a lot.


(Thay I know of)