Exclusive: Top European spies sceptical US will clinch Ukraine peace deal this year

[BumRushDaShow]

Source: Reuters

February 19, 2026 2:03 AM EST Updated 1 hour ago


MUNICH, Feb 19 (Reuters) - European intelligence chiefs are pessimistic about the chances of an agreement being reached this year to end Russia's war in Ukraine, despite Donald Trump's assertions that U.S.-brokered talks have brought the prospect of a deal "reasonably close".

The heads of five European spy agencies, who spoke to Reuters in recent days on condition of anonymity, said Russia did not want to end the war quickly. Four of them said Moscow was using the talks with the U.S. to push for sanctions relief and business deals. The talks - the latest round of which took place in Geneva this week - are "negotiation theatre", one European intelligence chief said.

The remarks point to a striking gulf in thinking between European capitals and the White House, which Ukraine says wants to clinch a peace agreement by June ahead of the U.S. congressional mid-term elections in November. Trump says he believes Russian President Vladimir Putin wants to make a deal.

"Russia is not seeking a peace agreement. They are seeking their strategic goals, and those have not changed," one of the European intelligence chiefs said. These include the removal of Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskiy and for Ukraine to become a "neutral" buffer to the West. The main issue, a second intelligence chief said, is that Russia neither wants nor needs a quick peace and its economy is "not on the verge of collapse".

Read more: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/top-european-spies-sceptical-us-will-clinch-ukraine-peace-deal-this-year-2026-02-19/

[ChicagoTeamster]

1. Maybe they suggest their CIA and DIA counterparts tell Trump Ukraine can leverage more firepower to inflict more damage

on Russian rail, energy, and oil and munitions production infrastructure to get Russia to agree to pull out and THEN give the US business deals. Trump gets his peace and his deals.

[Torchlight]

2. It's a no-brainer Epstein administration will not broker any peace deals

On the other hand, western intelligence (and media and everyone else) was blind-sided by the speed, scope and scale of the Soviet Union's dissolution in 89-90. I think Moscow wants the conflict to end as soon as possible as elephants in small rooms are hard to ignore... hard to ignore even in large rooms.