When Will Russia Collapse? - Joe Blogs

[TexasTowelie]

Last edited Sun Jan 25, 2026, 07:21 AM - Edit history (1)

Summary

This video by Joe Blogs, filmed at St Kilda Beach in Melbourne, Australia addresses a frequently asked question: When will Russia collapse?

Key Points:

Why Russia's collapse matters: For Ukraine supporters, a Russian economic collapse would be the best outcome to end the war, since Putin is unlikely to voluntarily withdraw or admit defeat.

Examples of economic collapse: The video discusses Cuba as a current example of a country near total collapse due to lack of resources, electricity blackouts, and loss of oil suppliers. Argentina is mentioned as having defaulted on debt nine times but still existing as a functioning nation.

Why Russia won't collapse soon:
• Abundant natural resources: Russia has massive oil, gas, coal, and mineral reserves
• Positive trade balance: Exports exceed imports
• Low debt-to-GDP ratio: Historically under 20% (compared to 100% for US/UK)
• Gold reserves: Russia has enormous gold reserves it can sell, with gold prices doubling since the war started
• Self-sufficiency: Produces its own food and fuel

Long-term damage to Russia: While not collapsing, Russia faces serious issues including struggling oil/gas industries, loss of buyers due to sanctions, deteriorating infrastructure, and potential permanent damage to production capacity.

Conclusion: Russia likely won't collapse in the near or even medium term—possibly having enough resources (especially gold) to fund the war for 10+ years.