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Fil1957

(864 posts)

10. I agree. I think people are confusing the redistricting war with the election. The press have been saying the

Fri May 8, 2026, 04:21 PM

May 8

Last edited Fri May 8, 2026, 06:32 PM - Edit history (1)

Republicans have "won" or have the "edge" in the gerrymander wars. That is all true, but it gives the impression that the Republicans now have the edge in the '26 election, which they don't.

Polymarket which has been a good predictor of election outcomes, now give the Democrats a 77% chance of winning the house, down from 88% a month ago, but still very good for Dems.

As things stand now, this will cost the Democrats seats, but in no way does this change the final outcome. And it's important to remember that no matter in what form the final maps are, they will have zero effect on the federal Senate races.

And let's not forget, unless there are major policy changes, inflation will continue to increase, the price of gas will be higher, and Trump and his Republican cohorts will be even MORE UNPOPULAR in November than they are now.

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We're not going to lose. [View all] mr715 May 8 OP

I appreciate your optimism senseandsensibility May 8 #1

Hope is a communal virtue mr715 May 8 #2

Go read this: Fiendish Thingy May 8 #4

TBH, it doesn't... regnaD kciN May 8 #30

Your math is off Fiendish Thingy May 8 #33

No one can predict the outcome. Voters let us down in 2000, 2016 and 2024, which lostincalifornia May 8 #5

And Independents voting Democratic mr715 May 8 #8

Agreed. Nothing is certain, that is the lesson from 2000, 2016, and 2024 lostincalifornia May 8 #32

We should be following the example blue-wave May 8 #9

Break their kneecaps at the polls. mr715 May 8 #38

Nothing can stop the Blue Tsunami! Fiendish Thingy May 8 #3

Dump hasn't just shot himself in the foot -- he's blown a whole leg off Blue Owl May 8 #6

Agree 100% with your assessment of the outcome of the midterms. beaglelover May 8 #7

I agree. I think people are confusing the redistricting war with the election. The press have been saying the Fil1957 May 8 #10

I posted this earlier and didn't much of a response. Mme. Defarge May 8 #11

All the animals in the barn yard are equal. multigraincracker May 8 #12

That movie is supposedly hideously bad... regnaD kciN May 8 #29

Changed the story pretty much. multigraincracker May 8 #35

Thank you! My anxiety is in overdrivw crimycarny May 8 #13

Glad I could help in my own small way mr715 May 8 #16

I also assume that the map redraws in Florida and Tennessee will be challenged in court? crimycarny May 8 #14

I'm in FL mr715 May 8 #15

Mark Elias is already on it. If you can afford to support Democracy Docket it will help. HeartsCanHope May 8 #28

Will do crimycarny May 8 #34

It's very likely but better not to speak so certainly. The most important thing is we CAN'T let the GOP stay in power, LymphocyteLover May 8 #17

Yeah, but we took a gut punch this morning. mr715 May 8 #19

We still need the independent voters in every state - Democrats can't do this alone FakeNoose May 8 #18

It'll be a good night gerrymander or no. mr715 May 8 #20

I fully expect Quanto Magnus May 8 #21

There will be elections and they will try stuff, but they'll lose. mr715 May 8 #22

I, too, am hopeful. Joinfortmill May 8 #23

What we're going to lose is several Black congresspeople yliza May 8 #24

Don't underestimate edhopper May 8 #25

And Hillary is going to sweep all 50 states sarisataka May 8 #26

I thought we would win 235 to 238 seats Pototan May 8 #27

Believe I've heard this before. Yup, I have. republianmushroom May 8 #31

$5.00 gas and boots on the ground in the multigraincracker May 8 #36

Add a little Hantavirus to the mix. mr715 May 8 #37