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mr715

(4,059 posts)

33. Assuming a fixed electorate, which is not the case.

Reply to Norrrm (Reply #28)

Fri May 8, 2026, 11:24 PM

16 hrs ago

Blue wins when a lot of those red boxes flip.

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Fiendish Thingy

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Gerrymandering's impact on the midterms for the mathematically challenged [View all] Fiendish Thingy 19 hrs ago OP

Thank you for laying this out. mr715 19 hrs ago #1

You are often right - I hope this opinion is also correct biophile 19 hrs ago #2

Some of those things are worth considering, others are not. Fiendish Thingy 18 hrs ago #4

You had me until the conclusion. Ilikepurple 18 hrs ago #3

Uncertainty cuts both ways Fiendish Thingy 18 hrs ago #5

K & R................. Lovie777 18 hrs ago #6

That's another piece of math I didn't mention! Fiendish Thingy 18 hrs ago #8

I really hope you're right. ecstatic 18 hrs ago #7

There is plenty of evidence that republicans are already voting for Democratic candidates over the past year. Fiendish Thingy 18 hrs ago #9

That is not relevant to what is happening with our elections. gab13by13 17 hrs ago #11

This comment (#11) is entirely irrelevant and quite unnecessary. Intractable 17 hrs ago #18

Sure it is. Nt Fiendish Thingy 16 hrs ago #20

Louisiana was in the middle of voting gab13by13 17 hrs ago #10

Yeah, the rose-colored glasses some are wearing do not help at all. FoxNewsSucks 17 hrs ago #12

Here's the deal gab13by13 17 hrs ago #14

Texass did that to Austin years ago. FoxNewsSucks 17 hrs ago #16

Votes will be the bullets in this gun fight Fiendish Thingy 16 hrs ago #21

So you are espousing the Schumer strategy? gab13by13 16 hrs ago #24

Yeah, that's what I'm proposing- let Trump burn it all down. Fiendish Thingy 16 hrs ago #29

This message was self-deleted by its author Fiendish Thingy 16 hrs ago #22

Agree. The Texas gerry was based on Hispanic Strelnikov_ 17 hrs ago #13

What does this have to do with Magats rigging elections? gab13by13 17 hrs ago #15

What rigging? Fiendish Thingy 16 hrs ago #23

I stand by the word rigging. gab13by13 16 hrs ago #26

Apathetic non voting citizens can most certainly get in the way. littlemissmartypants 17 hrs ago #17

Some People imagined they could afford to be apathetic in 2024 Fiendish Thingy 16 hrs ago #25

Kamala Harris won the election. gab13by13 16 hrs ago #27

No. mr715 16 hrs ago #31

2024 Election Denialism is just as kooky and evidence free as 2020 Election Denialism Fiendish Thingy 15 hrs ago #34

THANK YOU! 😊👍🤞🙏 🌊🌊🌊 ColoringFool 16 hrs ago #19

Gerrymandering chart Norrrm 16 hrs ago #28

Ah, but that presumes that all red voters will continue to vote red in 100% of races, 100% of the time Fiendish Thingy 16 hrs ago #30

And, just to bring up a point you and I agree on... mr715 15 hrs ago #38

While court expansion must be Dems top priority in 2029, I don't think it has to be front and Center in the 2028 campaig Fiendish Thingy 5 hrs ago #39

Assuming a fixed electorate, which is not the case. mr715 16 hrs ago #33

Pritzker I've read is considering countering the most recent red state redistricting. NoMoreRepugs 16 hrs ago #32

Yes, I expect many blue states will redistrict, but not in time for the midterms, but for 2028. Nt Fiendish Thingy 15 hrs ago #35

Those republican redistricts... Boo1 15 hrs ago #36

And if the optimistic models are correct, mr715 15 hrs ago #37

If 90 million people get off their asses and vote blue in the midterms IzzaNuDay 4 hrs ago #40

This edhopper 4 hrs ago #41

Keep Failing Open Book Tests Aepps22 1 hr ago #45

It won't even take 90 million Fiendish Thingy 4 hrs ago #42

I am not mathematically challenged, but thanks for a concise portrayal jimmy the one 2 hrs ago #43

Given the environment, some of those TX seats are dummymandered JCMach1 2 hrs ago #44