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FBaggins

(28,760 posts)

2. Right now looks like 8-10 net seats for republicans

Reply to hlthe2b (Reply #1)

Fri May 15, 2026, 12:47 PM

Yesterday

This article calls it 6-10 but there are two or three states yet to finish.

That moves the "needed to take back control" count to about 15 seats for November... which is not at all uncommon for a midterm election where the other party holds the White House (last time Trump went through one they lost 40).

So it's significant and legitimately hurts our chances... but is by no means unlikely.

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hlthe2b

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Highlight:

Estimating the GOP Edge from Redistricting: A State-by-State Accounting, with Caveats [View all] RandySF Thursday OP

Too depressing to read a detail of state by state impacts: Anyone care to give the bottom line? hlthe2b Thursday #1

Right now looks like 8-10 net seats for republicans FBaggins Yesterday #2

thanks... hlthe2b Yesterday #3