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Fiendish Thingy

(21,062 posts)
5. 2018 results say otherwise
Wed Oct 15, 2025, 09:17 AM
Wednesday

Dems picked up 40 seats, in part because Trump wasn’t on the ballot and significant segments of the MAGA faithful didn’t vote compared to 2016 and 2020.

In 2026, the US will be in a recession, probably with double digit inflation, and millions without healthcare or premiums that have doubled.

Im not suggesting there will be a mass abandonment of the MAGA movement by the 15-20% of republican voters who are die hard MAGA, but the crumbling economy will have a significant impact on voter behaviour.

The economy will definitely change the electoral landscape- both in flipping Biden 2020/Trump 2024 voters back to Dems (many already voted for Trump but voted for Dems downballot) as well as increasing turnout among young voters and those 2020 voters who stayed home in 2024.

Dems are already running 4 points ahead of republicans in generic ballot polls- just wait until there is a recession and sane Dems are nominated to run against the MAGA loons - even MTG gets it.

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